Category Archives: Analytics

Adding The Human Element For More Accurate Economic Predictive Analytics

From Forbes on December 6, 2016:

Earlier this year I wrote about the need for better analytics and the quest for better consumer confidence indicators which could greatly inform the development of more reliable predictive analytics. With many businesses, and even the Federal Reserve, having difficulty developing accurate forecasts, the time seems right to develop methodologies outside of traditional economics. Many have argued that the current state of asking consumers about such vague topics such as future expectations or business conditions should be replaced with a more straightforward set of micro foundation questions that probe personal spending directly. Continue reading…

With Election Over Holiday Gifting Becomes Top Of Mind

From Forbes on December 2, 2016:

The presidential election seems to be weighing down consumer confidence, but what does it mean for purchase intentions? Deborah Weinswig, Managing Director of Fung Global Retail & Technology, highlights the disconnect between sentiment and consumer spending intent in her analysis of Prosper’s October data. Continue reading…

Amazon Intel from Fung & Prosper

Columbus, Ohio and New York — November 17, 2016

Prosper Insights & Analytics™, a leading provider of business intelligence solutions, and international think tank Fung Global Retail & Technology  announced today that they have expanded their strategic alliance to include a co-branded Amazon Shopper Intelligence service. This unique service not only provides essential insights missing from most retailers’ loyalty data, including encroachment by Amazon along with the reasons why, but also special analysis by Fung Global Retail & Technology to help retailers and investors understand the Amazon threat. Continue reading

Election Worries And Moody Consumers, But Spending Intentions Remain Encouraging

From Forbes on October 28, 2016:

The presidential election seems to be weighing down consumer confidence, but what does it mean for purchase intentions? Deborah Weinswig, Managing Director of Fung Global Retail & Technology, highlights the disconnect between sentiment and consumer spending intent in her analysis of Prosper’s October data. Continue reading…

Small Business Confidence Rises Boding Well For Final Quarter Of 2016

From Forbes on September 30, 2016:

Consumers’ sentiment continues to improve, as does their mood. What does it mean for spending? Deborah Weinswig, Managing Director of Fung Global Retail & Technology, weighs in on what improvements in Prosper’s key indicators mean for retail sales and which categories are likely to benefit. Continue reading…

New Prosper Index Shows E-Commerce Loyalty Down for Macys.com, Flat for Target.com

Worthington, Ohio—9/13/2016—Prosper Insights & Analytics™ has launched the E-Commerce Preference Index which is part of Prosper’s Digital Shopper InsightCenter™. A recent analysis of the index suggests that while Macy’s has committed to doing more online, preference is down year-over-year for Macys.com (-15%). Target, another retailer who has ramped up their digital game, is also experiencing performance issues (relatively flat YOY at -1%). On the other hand, Kohls.com has seen a slight uptick in website loyalty since 2015 (+2%).  Continue reading

Adding Consumer Intention To Predictive Models: An Interview With Prevedere CEO

The latest from Prosper on Forbes.com

I wrote back in April about how there has been an increased interest in predictive analytics ever since the 2008 recession. However, even with this added attention, most predictions remain largely inaccurate. No one seems to know where the economy is headed, including the Federal Reserve.  A recent article by Prevedere’s Danielle Marceau, a senior economist and data scientist, highlights how the Federal Reserve has continued to demonstrate its inability to forecast the economy. She noted that the bottom line is that “the Fed needs to learn how to forecast,” and went on to say that “analysts should be focusing on leading, predictive indicators such as small business optimism, industrial production and consumer sentiment.”

As more and more economic forecasters recognize that consumers’ actions, future intentions and emotions are a necessary component in forecasting today’s dynamic market, more will turn to adding these insights to their models. Continue reading…

Consumer Sentiment Stabilizes Post-Brexit Though Small Business Owners Feeling Angst

From Forbes on August 30, 2016:

Prosper’s Consumer Spending Forecast is up from last month and so is consumer confidence (albeit still below the 13-month average), but small business owners’ sentiment is down. Deborah Weinswig, Managing Director of Fung Global Retail & Technology, weighs in on which categories may benefit from an upswing in confidence and purchase intentions and what may have small business owners worried. Continue reading…